Thursday, 1 September 2011

Introduction

I have started this blog specifically to record the progress of amalgamating SIX  profitable sports betting systems . Here are the results of one of my NH racing systems courtesy of the old Adrian Massey site :-

Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at SP Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
All Selections 1951 360 18.5% 116.5% 756 38.7% 101.4%



Results broken down by Year


Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at SP Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2004 223 47 21.1% 179.1% 97 43.5% 143.3%
2005 249 46 18.5% 112.6% 91 36.5% 96.4%
2006 274 49 17.9% 115.4% 102 37.2% 98.4%
2007 274 42 15.3% 100.7% 99 36.1% 91.1%
2008 294 53 18.0% 106.6% 113 38.4% 97.4%
2009 241 48 19.9% 101.9% 98 40.7% 91.6%
2010 280 50 17.9% 111.1% 110 39.3% 100.4%
2011 116 25 21.6% 113.7% 46 39.7% 96.2%


SYSTEM 2 (Flat turf )


Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at early odds
Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2010 203 31 15% 176.5%



SYSTEM 3 (flat turf)


Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at betfair SP Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2010 398 113 28.5% 129.5%

SYSTEM 4 (football)

Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at adv odds Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2010/11 350 135 38.5% 20%

SYSTEM 5 (football)

Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at adv odds Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2010/11 198 43 22% 20%


SYSTEM 6 (football)

Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at adv odds Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP
2010/11 263 78 30% 15%


The idea is to see how much a 75 point bank can grow over the next 12 months .

Notes to be aware of :-

1. The racing systems have long term records and are highly unlikely to disappoint .
2. The main football system has a long term track record ie over 2000 bets over the last 5 seasons .
3. The two other football systems have only been "live" for last season , however , a data bank of 10's of thousands of past matches have been used to back test them .
4. Losing runs for individual systems are easily manageable provided appropriate betting banks are in place . What I do not know is just how messy it could get if two or more of the systems experience poor runs at the same time . Will a 75 point bank be sufficient to weather any storms that will most definately come my way ?
5. When the football systems pick both teams in a fixture both teams will be backed . When 2 or all 3 football systems pick the same team 2 or 3 pts will be staked .
6. Stakes will be a 1/75th of the betting banks' highest total .

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